If you are a seasoned bettor you are already familiar with the fact that predicting the outcome of the game or the number of goals is not the only market available. There’s a lot of other way to wager your money on a game that can give you good return with less risk. One of the less talked about markets is the “Corners Market”.A corner is when the ball goes out of play on the side parallel to the goal line after being touch by one player of the defending team or even the goalkeeper. A corner can be obtained when a team shoots or cross the ball and one of the defending players (or goalkeeper) goes in its way and changes the its trajectory in order to avoid a shot on goal, or a defending player that is in possession of the ball gets pressured by one or more of the attacking players. But it is lesser known that, while training, teams practice avoiding corners (as a corner is a very good chance of scoring)
Another aspect of this market is that it is irrelevant of the number of goals or final result, but can however be influenced by it. (and we will delve into this exact topic further down), and it is subject to pressure.
With the Covid19 restrictions put in place in 2020 it affected many games and many betting markets. But one of the markets that you often not discussed is that of “Corner Betting”. The way this effect is felt is through the empty stands. Some of the biggest derbies and rivarlies that would have had thousands of people chanting and pushing their teams all of a sudden felt like training sessions. Remember we spoke about pressure? Well when a player is close to their goal line and has attacking players on his tail, in a usual match there might be the “roaar” of the public putting extra pressure on the player, who in turn might take the safe bet and send the ball into a corner, whereas in a game without fans the pressure gets diminished and the prssured player can act more calmly and send the ball into a simple Side Throw. Due to this aspect, it has been noted that in the season 2020/2021 the average number of corners has decreased with some matches even only recording 2-3 corners/game.
However, with matches expected to have a fair amount of corners the global average sits at about 9 corners.
Also, the score can affect the game greatly. In one of FC Sevilla’s matches in the season 2019/2020, the game started very well corners wise and at half time the score was 0-0 even though Sevilla was the clear favourite. This in turn was shown on the corners section where Sevilla was leading 6-0. But what happened was that early in the second half Sevilla scored a goal and went 1-0 up… and they stopped attacking. Final corner count was 6-1.
The rule of thumb is that usually when a dominant team is 1-0 down they tend to put even more pressure in order to equalize and then score the second goal, which in turn can make the defending team make more and more mistakes which can lead to more and more corners. This is why a game such as Spain – Malta can have a corner count of 14-1.
The problem with playing on corners when a team is a clear favourite is that there is a high chance that most of them will come from only one side, which is why 4-4 is better than 6-1 for an “Over 7 Corners Bet”. That’s because if, just like in Sevilla’s case, if the dominant team stops attacking, the weaker team will be facing very strong defenders who know how to avoid corners.
As well, it has been noted that a better team playing at home tends to score more corners then if they played the same game away. This has happened because of the same covid19 “no crowds” policy where now you play like home almost anywhere. (so as long as you get your sleep and you are on maximum charge at the start of the game the stadium matters a lot less).
Usually top tier matches tend to have less corners. And some leagues have more corners than others. Also semi-bad teams playing each other seems to get the highest number of corners.
OK!!! BUT HOW DO I BET THEN?
Well now we will go into how to find suitable matches where to place our bets. For this we will use 2 of our favourite websites:
The great thing about The Stats Don’t Lie is that is has a comprehensive corners analysis (pictured below).
(Article in course of writing)